USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction & Picks - Jan 25
USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers
Game Preview for January 25, 2026
|
USC Trojans |
VS |
Wisconsin Badgers |
Betting Lines
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers -7.5
Moneyline: USC Trojans (+259) | Wisconsin Badgers (-328)
Total: 159.5
Game Storylines
On paper, Wisconsin Badgers holds the advantage as the higher-ranked team, but USC Trojans could make this interesting if they play to their potential.
Key Matchup: The Battle in the TrenchesBoth teams are fairly evenly matched on both ends of the floor. This could come down to execution in crunch time.
USC Trojans
USC Trojans comes in ranked #51 overall by KenPom. On the defensive end, they're lockdown on the perimeter, holding opponents to just 29.5% from three.
Record & Ranking
- KenPom Rank: #51
- Offensive Efficiency: 110.5 (Rank: #130)
- Defensive Efficiency: 103.6 (Rank: #85)
- Tempo: 71.9 (Rank: #48)
Shooting Breakdown
- 2-Point Shooting: 53.7% (Rank: #110)
- 3-Point Shooting: 32.7% (Rank: #234)
- Free Throw Shooting: 71.7% (Rank: #200)
- 3-Point Rate: 34.8% (Rank: #283)
Defensive Stats
- Opponent 2-Point Shooting: 50.7% (Rank: #139)
- Opponent 3-Point Shooting: 29.5% (Rank: #18)
- Block Percentage: 15.3% (Rank: #10)
- Steal Rate: 0.1% (Rank: #273)
Team Metrics
- Assist Rate: 57.7% (Rank: #66)
- Experience: 2.2 years (Rank: #86)
- Bench Minutes: 38.3% (Rank: #52)
- Average Height: 79.2" (Rank: #4)
Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin Badgers comes in ranked #39 overall by KenPom. They boast one of the nation's top offenses, ranked #48 in efficiency.
Record & Ranking
- KenPom Rank: #39
- Offensive Efficiency: 117.7 (Rank: #48)
- Defensive Efficiency: 105.3 (Rank: #118)
- Tempo: 71.3 (Rank: #67)
Shooting Breakdown
- 2-Point Shooting: 57.1% (Rank: #43)
- 3-Point Shooting: 34.9% (Rank: #131)
- Free Throw Shooting: 77.3% (Rank: #29)
- 3-Point Rate: 50.7% (Rank: #13)
Defensive Stats
- Opponent 2-Point Shooting: 51.4% (Rank: #177)
- Opponent 3-Point Shooting: 32.5% (Rank: #111)
- Block Percentage: 8.8% (Rank: #215)
- Steal Rate: 0.1% (Rank: #281)
Team Metrics
- Assist Rate: 58.4% (Rank: #55)
- Experience: 1.8 years (Rank: #217)
- Bench Minutes: 32.2% (Rank: #191)
- Average Height: 79.0" (Rank: #10)
Model Predictions
All that being said, here's how our model prices this game.
Spread
- USC Trojans: 7.5, Edge For Covering Spread: -1.8%
- Wisconsin Badgers: -7.5, Edge For Covering Spread: -2.9%
Moneyline
- USC Trojans Win Probability: 25.7%
- Wisconsin Badgers Win Probability: 74.3%
Total
- Predicted Total: 159.5
- Edge For Covering Over: -2.4%
- Edge For Covering Under: -2.4%
To see predictions for spreads, moneylines, and totals for every D1 men's college basketball game, be sure to get access at btb-analytics.com