Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Michigan Wolverines 1/27/26

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Michigan Wolverines

Game Preview for January 27, 2026

Betting Lines

Spread: Michigan Wolverines -10.5

Moneyline: Nebraska Cornhuskers (+417) | Michigan Wolverines (-596)

Total: 154.5

Game Analysis & Betting Breakdown

Setting the Stage

When Nebraska Cornhuskers (20-0) travels to face Michigan Wolverines (18-1) at Crisler Center, we're looking at a matchup between two programs with similar profiles in the national landscape. The early betting action has shaped into Michigan Wolverines favored by 10.5 points, with the total sitting at 154.5. These numbers tell us a story, but let's dig deeper into what's really happening on the court.

Breaking Down the Spread

A spread around 10.5 points tells us Michigan Wolverines has clear advantages, but games aren't played on paper. Nebraska Cornhuskers needs to punch above their weight class to keep this competitive. The total of 154.5 points to a track meet. The books are anticipating fireworks with both teams getting their shots up.

Offensive Firepower

Nebraska Cornhuskers bring an offensive efficiency of 118.37 (ranked #41 nationally). This is an elite offense that can score in multiple ways. Their 35.5% three-point shooting is serviceable but won't scare anyone.

Meanwhile, Michigan Wolverines counter with 122.86 offensive efficiency (#11). This offense can match anyone bucket-for-bucket. At 35.0% from three, they have adequate spacing but must pick their spots.

Tempo & Playing Style

Nebraska Cornhuskers operate at a 68.4 tempo (#210), while Michigan Wolverines play at 74.2 (#14). Michigan Wolverines like to push the pace, while Nebraska Cornhuskers want to control the clock. This tempo battle will be crucial—whoever dictates pace gains a significant edge. The moderate pace (around 71.3) should create a standard flow.

The Interior Battle

Inside the paint, Nebraska Cornhuskers shoot 60.2% on two-pointers, while Michigan Wolverines convert at 64.3%. Both teams are evenly matched in paint efficiency. Getting to the line matters too. Nebraska Cornhuskers's free throw rate sits at 28.3, suggesting they're more perimeter-oriented or struggle to draw fouls. Michigan Wolverines check in at 41.7, showing they also get to the stripe frequently. When they do get fouled, Nebraska Cornhuskers convert 76.2% while Michigan Wolverines hit 71.8%. Both teams are comparable from the stripe.

X-Factors & Intangibles

Playing at home, Michigan Wolverines get the crowd advantage and familiar surroundings. In a fairly even matchup, home court becomes magnified as a potential deciding factor. From a coaching perspective, Fred Hoiberg leads Nebraska Cornhuskers while Dusty May guides Michigan Wolverines. Experience and game planning will be critical in what promises to be a tactical chess match. Both teams feature strong defenses (#12 and #4), so offense may be at a premium.

Game Storylines

This matchup features two evenly-matched teams, with Nebraska Cornhuskers at #12 and Michigan Wolverines at #2 in the KenPom rankings. Expect a competitive battle throughout.

Key Matchup: The Battle in the Trenches

Both teams are fairly evenly matched on both ends of the floor. This could come down to execution in crunch time.

Pace of Play: Michigan Wolverines like to push the pace, while Nebraska Cornhuskers prefer a more deliberate approach. The team that can impose their preferred tempo will have a significant advantage.

X-Factor: Nebraska Cornhuskers can light it up from three-point range (35.5%), but Michigan Wolverines defend the arc exceptionally well, holding opponents to just 30.2%. This battle could determine the outcome.

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Nebraska Cornhuskers comes in ranked #12 overall by KenPom. They boast one of the nation's top offenses, ranked #41 in efficiency. Their defense has been a calling card this season, making life difficult for opposing offenses.

Record & Ranking

  • Record: 20-0
  • Head Coach: Fred Hoiberg
  • KenPom Rank: #12
  • Offensive Efficiency: 118.4 (Rank: #41)
  • Defensive Efficiency: 94.9 (Rank: #12)
  • Tempo: 68.4 (Rank: #210)

Shooting Breakdown

  • 2-Point Shooting: 60.2% (Rank: #10)
  • 3-Point Shooting: 35.5% (Rank: #93)
  • Free Throw Shooting: 76.2% (Rank: #59)
  • 3-Point Rate: 51.0% (Rank: #11)

Defensive Stats

  • Opponent 2-Point Shooting: 47.6% (Rank: #48)
  • Opponent 3-Point Shooting: 30.5% (Rank: #45)
  • Block Percentage: 9.4% (Rank: #181)
  • Steal Rate: 0.1% (Rank: #149)

Team Metrics

  • Assist Rate: 64.8% (Rank: #10)
  • Experience: 2.4 years (Rank: #27)
  • Bench Minutes: 27.9% (Rank: #293)
  • Average Height: 77.8" (Rank: #114)

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines comes in ranked #2 overall by KenPom. Defensively, they've been rock solid, ranking #4 nationally in efficiency.

Record & Ranking

  • Record: 18-1
  • Head Coach: Dusty May
  • Home Arena: Crisler Center
  • KenPom Rank: #2
  • Offensive Efficiency: 122.9 (Rank: #11)
  • Defensive Efficiency: 92.4 (Rank: #4)
  • Tempo: 74.2 (Rank: #14)

Shooting Breakdown

  • 2-Point Shooting: 64.3% (Rank: #1)
  • 3-Point Shooting: 35.0% (Rank: #119)
  • Free Throw Shooting: 71.8% (Rank: #197)
  • 3-Point Rate: 43.0% (Rank: #116)

Defensive Stats

  • Opponent 2-Point Shooting: 41.1% (Rank: #1)
  • Opponent 3-Point Shooting: 30.2% (Rank: #38)
  • Block Percentage: 16.5% (Rank: #5)
  • Steal Rate: 0.1% (Rank: #202)

Team Metrics

  • Assist Rate: 60.1% (Rank: #35)
  • Experience: 2.1 years (Rank: #50)
  • Bench Minutes: 37.6% (Rank: #66)
  • Average Height: 78.6" (Rank: #29)

Model Predictions

All that being said, here's how our model prices this game.

Spread

  • Nebraska Cornhuskers: 10.5, Edge For Covering Spread: -2.4%
  • Michigan Wolverines: -10.5, Edge For Covering Spread: -2.4%

Moneyline

  • Nebraska Cornhuskers Win Probability: 17.5%
  • Michigan Wolverines Win Probability: 82.5%

Total

  • Predicted Total: 154.5
  • Edge For Covering The Over: -3.9%
  • Edge For Covering The Under: -0.9%

To see predictions for spreads, moneylines, and totals for every D1 men's college basketball game, be sure to get access at btb-analytics.com

Next
Next

USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction & Picks - Jan 25